Re:Re:The Vaal 24 March & Winning Fav Stats

The Vaal hosts Thursday`s South African races, a nine race card with a 12:30 Start time..

Track Info

Race Track: Turf. 3000m oval circuit. Races up to 1600m straight course; beyond 1600m clockwise round turn with 1000m run-in.

Best Draws: Low-number draws slightly favoured in 1700m races.

Pen - 22
Going - Good
False Rail - Zero back straight 2.5m on the bend with 3.5m spur at 600m mark.

Off times

Race 1 - 12:30
Race 2 - 13:05
Race 3 - 13:40
Race 4 - 14:15
Race 5 - 14:50
Race 6 - 15:25
Race 7 - 15:55
Race 8 - 16:30
Race 9 - 17:05

Winning Favourite Stats supplied by Lyall Cooper

Vaal 23 Feb to 16th March (6) meetings
50 Races - 19 Favourites 38%
Average Winn price +- 7/1
Average Quartet payout last 2 meetings (16) Races R5438

Last 2 meetings Fav percentage 18,75%
Last 6 meetings Fav percentage 38%
16th March 1 Favourite (8 races)
9th March 2 Favourites (8 races)
4th March 4 Favourites (9 races)
2nd March 4 Favourites (8races)
25 Feb 5 Favourites ( 8 races)
23 Feb 3 Favourites (9 races)


Turffontein 2 March till 20 March 4 racedays

34 Races - 14 Favourites 41%
Average Quartet payout last 2 meetings
(17) Races R3614. 00

Last 2 meetings Fav percentage 41,16 %
Last 4 meetings Fav percentage 41 %

Turffontein and Vaal combined
33 Favourites from 84 Races
39,27 %

Exotics

Bi Pot (Races 2-7 )
P A (Races 3-9 )
Pick 6 (Races 4-9 )
Jackpot 1 (Races 5-8 )
Jackpot 2 (Races 6-9 )

Deez`s Selections

Available after 9am

CLICK HERE for all the latest odds at the VAAL

Sky Kingdom...I would have preferred a 1200m...

R4 Just Judy fifty cents to the rand but you back her all day
R6 Trend Master,Greek Fire and Kay Tee Perry
R9 Timeforthat

Magic Sly, would be great if we had our own (your own stat thread)

Very interesting and thanks again Sly.

My understanding over the years has been in the region of a third of every fav arrives.
The figures above slightly higher at around 40%.

Looking at todays card the most likely favs to arrive would be in race 1,2,3 and 6.

Wish it could be that easy.

Good Punting

I remember watching a roulette table where 13 reds had come up on the trot and a young chap next to me said "it MUST be black this time"
I had to tell him that the white ball has no memory and the odds of each individual spin remains evens. ( ok ignoring the green for the house).
Incidentally the red arrived for the 14th spin.

R4 Spanish Song good value at 12/1

How is the weather.?

I'm hearing they expecting heavy rain but the forecasters are a bit like tipsters ..dont always get it right.

Those winning stats are impressive relative to global stats.


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

According to the track report, they have not had any rain and my weather app says the chances of rain should be decreasing from around mid-day - so for now I think it's good to go - but one can never be sure :huh:

I have taken an early Yankee - Slalom Queen (w), Kay Tee Perry (w), Snow in Seattle (4p) and Into the Future (4p)

Slalom Queen for me hard to beat these weights and any rain won't hurt her chances

Kay Tee Perry has Reunion to beat, but the 6.5 kgs could prove decisive.

Snow in Seattle, rating coming down slowly and imo best this track and trip - stand side draw won't hurt and neither would soft going

Into the Future - big rating drop and probably needed his first run up here, also drawn on the stand side and soft going would not be an issue

Enjoy

Deez`s selections

VALUE BETS
R5 - Dark Vision
R9 - Speechmaker

JACKPOT
9/1/1/7