BettingWorld 1900 - Drier first and third
- rob faux
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Re: BettingWorld 1900 - Drier first and third
10 years 1 month ago
I think the point of the thread was the acknowledging of the help! :silly:
De Kock never fails to acknowledge and thank Joey,but ,of course, he can afford to as his own abilities are never in question!
However,the argument that horses ability varies but all humans are equal,rages on, and will probably continue to do so, but surely a valid question is........ why is it that, generally, year after year, the same stables,in every region, get almost all the good horses?...........................can life really be that unfair? :woohoo:
De Kock never fails to acknowledge and thank Joey,but ,of course, he can afford to as his own abilities are never in question!
However,the argument that horses ability varies but all humans are equal,rages on, and will probably continue to do so, but surely a valid question is........ why is it that, generally, year after year, the same stables,in every region, get almost all the good horses?...........................can life really be that unfair? :woohoo:
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- Sharky
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Re: BettingWorld 1900 - Drier first and third
10 years 1 month agoBob Brogan wrote: So did Brett Crawford win the Cape Derby and Flying Championship this season or Mike De Kock ?
Haha true Bob and I suppose Aldo is also a better trainer as Stan was in Durban this week WITH Dynastic Power and Eighth Story won well today.... Only fools and horses :whistle:
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- rob faux
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Re: BettingWorld 1900 - Drier first and third
10 years 1 month ago
Getting on to the important aspect of the race ,has anybody been swayed towards a horse they think likely to win,from that race, for the July.
I personally never put anything higher up my list, on the strength of that race!
Will the winner's new rating even guarantee a run? (up to a 101 in my book)
I personally never put anything higher up my list, on the strength of that race!
Will the winner's new rating even guarantee a run? (up to a 101 in my book)
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- Frodo
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Re: BettingWorld 1900 - Drier first and third
10 years 1 month agorob faux wrote: Getting on to the important aspect of the race ,has anybody been swayed towards a horse they think likely to win,from that race, for the July.
I personally never put anything higher up my list, on the strength of that race!
Will the winner's new rating even guarantee a run? (up to a 101 in my book)
I think both the Elley runners should move up the July Log - and definitely Power King should replace Helderberg Blue in the top twenty; I think PK ran an excellent race and wish I had taken some of that 55/1 available before the race yesterday (down to 16/1 now)

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- PeterD
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Re: BettingWorld 1900 - Drier first and third
10 years 1 month ago
When I looked at this race on Friday, I decided that it was a minefield for punters, and could not find anything to punt.
Four lengths covered the first 10 home. There were a couple of hard luck stories - most notably Helderberg Blue was given a shocker of a ride from favourable draw 3, sitting at the back of the field. The time seemed ok, although with only 3 turf races, hard to judge how the course was running. (will the promised sectional timing ever be delivered??).
Only one 3 yo in the race- the enigmatic Jayyed, ran 4 L back, and hence a few lb below his 101, so this race does not help much to calibrate the 3yo ratings, except to say they can't be far out.
The winner may now go up to a MR 100. Traditionally the winner of this race has been given a July ticket. Dynastic Power will improve over further, but would be a very unlikely July winner- any 4yo rated under 106 will be under sufferance assuming Futura runs.
For the rest, Power King and Punta Arenas confirmed their well- being, and ran to their ratings, but are marginal candidates and remain long shots to get a run.
The only runner here in the top 20 was Helderberg Blue, and this run won't help his chances of getting in.
His Met rating of 110 is looking too high.
To summarize- I won't add anything from this race to the short list of possible 2015 July winners.
Four lengths covered the first 10 home. There were a couple of hard luck stories - most notably Helderberg Blue was given a shocker of a ride from favourable draw 3, sitting at the back of the field. The time seemed ok, although with only 3 turf races, hard to judge how the course was running. (will the promised sectional timing ever be delivered??).
Only one 3 yo in the race- the enigmatic Jayyed, ran 4 L back, and hence a few lb below his 101, so this race does not help much to calibrate the 3yo ratings, except to say they can't be far out.
The winner may now go up to a MR 100. Traditionally the winner of this race has been given a July ticket. Dynastic Power will improve over further, but would be a very unlikely July winner- any 4yo rated under 106 will be under sufferance assuming Futura runs.
For the rest, Power King and Punta Arenas confirmed their well- being, and ran to their ratings, but are marginal candidates and remain long shots to get a run.
The only runner here in the top 20 was Helderberg Blue, and this run won't help his chances of getting in.
His Met rating of 110 is looking too high.
To summarize- I won't add anything from this race to the short list of possible 2015 July winners.
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- stuntman
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Re: BettingWorld 1900 - Drier first and third
10 years 1 month ago
Sharkey
Given that the Elley horses ran to form, you must have made a killing backing them. Just the swinger paid R155! Well done to you.
I am always amazed when punters say that trainer input doesn't sway the result. All of training skills, nutrition, timing, knowing when a horse is fit,etc contribute to the likelihood of a horse winning. Like in all spheres of human endeavour, individual skills accumulated and learned by the right people are what separates the good from the bad.
What you're saying is that none of these things count, and the horse will perform under different trainer skills equally.
You're obviously a punter and not a person close to training and horse skills. You also presume that trainers sit together and train as a team when a trainer from a different province send his horses to a different trainer. How wrong you are. Ask around a bit. Taking your argument to its logical conclusion, we could take our most useless trainer, with our best horses to Dubai, and expect him/her to do as well as Mike DeKock. What a joke!
Give Drier the credit for getting Elleys horses to both perform at their best, in their first run in KZN, after a break, with bad draws. The public didnt rate Elleys horses to run a place...which is why they had such long odds......why?????
If the public had known Drier had them under his wing, like Rob Faux said, they would have looked at them differently in their assessments of the field. Why? Because he's a better trainer. Full stop
Given that the Elley horses ran to form, you must have made a killing backing them. Just the swinger paid R155! Well done to you.
I am always amazed when punters say that trainer input doesn't sway the result. All of training skills, nutrition, timing, knowing when a horse is fit,etc contribute to the likelihood of a horse winning. Like in all spheres of human endeavour, individual skills accumulated and learned by the right people are what separates the good from the bad.
What you're saying is that none of these things count, and the horse will perform under different trainer skills equally.
You're obviously a punter and not a person close to training and horse skills. You also presume that trainers sit together and train as a team when a trainer from a different province send his horses to a different trainer. How wrong you are. Ask around a bit. Taking your argument to its logical conclusion, we could take our most useless trainer, with our best horses to Dubai, and expect him/her to do as well as Mike DeKock. What a joke!
Give Drier the credit for getting Elleys horses to both perform at their best, in their first run in KZN, after a break, with bad draws. The public didnt rate Elleys horses to run a place...which is why they had such long odds......why?????
If the public had known Drier had them under his wing, like Rob Faux said, they would have looked at them differently in their assessments of the field. Why? Because he's a better trainer. Full stop
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- Bob Brogan
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Re: BettingWorld 1900 - Drier first and third
10 years 1 month ago
Stuntman , Drier money is usually spot on, funny how the winner was allowed to go of such a big price ?
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- Sharky
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Re: BettingWorld 1900 - Drier first and third
10 years 1 month ago
Stuntman, you would be surprised to know how involved in horses I've been including winning a Gr1 race however I'm a punter as well and yes, maybe I know nothing but what I do know is.... Stan Elley has been in Durban and at Summerveld most mornings and I know a fair bit of how trainers work with each other when raiding. Anyway I'm not here to argue with you, I just think it's a great job done by Stan assisted by Drier as has happened many times in the past.
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- Frodo
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Re: BettingWorld 1900 - Drier first and third
10 years 1 month agoPeterD wrote: When I looked at this race on Friday, I decided that it was a minefield for punters, and could not find anything to punt.
Four lengths covered the first 10 home. There were a couple of hard luck stories - most notably Helderberg Blue was given a shocker of a ride from favourable draw 3, sitting at the back of the field. The time seemed ok, although with only 3 turf races, hard to judge how the course was running. (will the promised sectional timing ever be delivered??).
Only one 3 yo in the race- the enigmatic Jayyed, ran 4 L back, and hence a few lb below his 101, so this race does not help much to calibrate the 3yo ratings, except to say they can't be far out.
The winner may now go up to a MR 100. Traditionally the winner of this race has been given a July ticket. Dynastic Power will improve over further, but would be a very unlikely July winner- any 4yo rated under 106 will be under sufferance assuming Futura runs.
For the rest, Power King and Punta Arenas confirmed their well- being, and ran to their ratings, but are marginal candidates and remain long shots to get a run.
The only runner here in the top 20 was Helderberg Blue, and this run won't help his chances of getting in.
His Met rating of 110 is looking too high.
To summarize- I won't add anything from this race to the short list of possible 2015 July winners.
I mostly agree - with the exception of Power King - I rate the race as follows;
Dynastic Power - 99
Power King - 107
Punta Arena - 105
Dynamic - 100
...
...
Jayyed - 100 (Gross)
If my calculations are correct, this means that PK will carry a handy 53.5 kg's in the July - given that Futura runs (and assuming PK gets in - and imo he should replace Helderberg Blue in the Top Twenty) - so he was nice value at 50/1, but not anymore at 16/1
Would be interesting to see if Dynastic Power does get a run - I can't find any condition stating that the winner of the 1900 gets an automatic entry into the July - but as you state it has been the tradition - maybe time to break that tradition, as I agree that DP would not feature - but I think he would be a factor in races like the Lonsdale and perhaps the Gold Cup
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- Muhtiman
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Re: BettingWorld 1900 - Drier first and third
10 years 4 weeks agoSharky wrote: A lot that is being said here is destructive bull!
Before I start, I'm not a client, fan, family or friend of Stan Elley but this thread is ridiculous!!!!
Firstly, Dynastic Power and Power King ran to form.
Secondly, Stan has always done well in KZN and WC with his limited string and has done really well with the likes of Punta Arenas and Red Badge plus others in the past with or without any help and a limited string as most smaller trainers.
Thirdly, and most importantly, this Drier help thing really sux. Yes Drier has helped under Stans instruction and however they work it but remember, Drier also helped and got Jackson to win under Brett Crawford who has more than proved he can also train the big ones. This is no different to the Jackson case to the Dynastic Power thing. Another thing, everyone said Humby and Soma helped Lafferty win his big races in CPT and JNB but sure enough Lafferty proved in KZN winning a Gr1 without them and in JNB that he can also do it and if you ask me, he is better than both of the other two in general it that a matter of opinion, the rest are facts. Alesh Naidoo was doing well with Lafferty and jumped over to the bigger Laird and hasn't really done any better or at least I don't see a Gr1 as Lafferty got for him!
Trevor Brown has been looking after Mubtaahij so when he wins do you all say it wasn't De Kock, it was Brown???
Please!!!!!! Tarry often uses Sands in CPT and when he wins I don't read threads saying it was Sands and not Tarry...
A couple years ago, Ramsden won November Handicap with a horse that was left with De Kock and no one said it wasn't Ramsden but De Kock.. These things happen and it clearly works well between trainers regarding logistics etc and between them they are all capable of making it happen.
I must give all those trainers the benefit and credit of thinking for the horse and owner and making the right decision for them so that the horse can reach its full ability. Well done to them all especially Stan Elley and connections last night.
Im with Sharky on this.....although Stan is not the greatest trainer around the horses in question are classy well bred sorts and proved this by making a Gr2 field....and should show their ability almost any where .....it is ridiculous to think that they only ran out of their skins because they were in the care of a master trainer to put on the magic touch....to add what sharky is trying to say....when the likes of Dean Kannemeyer sends a string of equally formless sorts to my old uncle Albie Going and they start finding the winners box with regular ease ......please dont say that uncle Albie is the better trainer.... :whistle: .....I had both of Stans horses in my Jackpot and did catch that swinger because I do not go on ratings nor draws nor who is steering and who is conditioning.....I identify class through genetic ability and keep following them no matter what odds they get priced up at.....was a bit shocked that the winner paid as much....PS
Power King and JaYYED were not given the of best rides.... :blink:
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- rob faux
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Re: BettingWorld 1900 - Drier first and third
10 years 4 weeks ago
Muhti,when any formless horses go to Uncle Albie and they start finding the winners box ,what DO you call it.................... luck...............WTF.
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- Muhtiman
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Re: BettingWorld 1900 - Drier first and third
10 years 4 weeks agorob faux wrote: Muhti,when any formless horses go to Uncle Albie and they start finding the winners box ,what DO you call it.................... luck...............WTF.
?......like Stans horses simply a change in environment and the escape from the Cape crawl........not which yard the horses land up in.........class will always come to the fore........even small unrated trainers can identify a good horse amongst the battlers they get stuck with......
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