Arlington Friday?

Whats your fancies? hope we dont have a race when SA scores the first goal?

good punting!

Royal Reigns met bad interference at a crucial stage in his latest start. You might want to consider including him in your PAs.

Scent of Success and Noble House both having first runs in PE.....got place chances.

Sports Coupe ,worried a little about the trip?

Another tough one expected,

I reckon Cafe Society will run a better race again today,

PA 1 x 1,2,7 x 3,5 x 5,3,4,13,15 x 4,5,7,11,6 x 3,9,7,11,6,1 x 4,8,5,7
P6 1,2,5 x (5,3,4) x 5,3,4,18,15,16,8,10 x 4,5,7,11,6,13,9,3 x 3,9,11,1,2,14,13,10 x 4,8,5,1
JP 5 (3,4) x 5,3,4,18,15,16,8,10 x 4,5,7,11,6,13,9,3 x 3,9,11,1,2,14,13,10

If Cafe comes the PA is looking strong for the rest, perhaps play a 2nd one with Varmod as banker in the last
PA 1,8 x 1,2,7 x 3,5 x 5,3,4,13,15,16,2 x 4,5,7,11,6 x 3,9,7,11,6,1 x 4

Regatrds,

Loopy

Hey Guys

Race 6: White Fire (very strong e/way bet). Its had 2 shocking draws in last 3 runs. The other run was a good run in the Derby. The form of its last run has been franked by Wiese's two runners.

Good punting

Morning Clan from a cold and wet PE. We have 7 runners today.

Race 3 Cafe Society has blinkers on today. She has improved and should give a good showing.
Tangerine Dreams may still need race expierience but has also come on from last run.

Race 5 Debonair Man is very well and should enjoy the trip as well as the going. Big runner.

Race 7 Lector is well but in a strong field. Hope he can make use of the allowance.
Blushing Count should be right there. Big runner.

Race 8 Off the Hook also very well and should enjoy the going. Big runner.

Race 9 Tres Belle should be right there.

Add Super Senik into PAs. Take note that there has been a fair amount of rain over the last 2 days and very overcast and slight drizzle as we talk.

* A very competitive card. And ordinarily considering my rules of engagement if I don't have a clear edge like a single banker and a double somewhere I pass.
* The total cost of playing the full perm would be R75 600. The above multiples represent a phenomenal 85% saving on that cost by reducing it to R10 752 yet retaining the probability chances odds wise of the full perm by virtue of it's construction. Don't underestimate that kind of power.
* The cost for playing today's pick 6 is still unacceptably high so the jackpot may represent better value. I would play some jackpot tickets with 2scr as a banker and then others including 3,4,7,10. Perhaps later today I will post some playable tickets to take the jackpot down
* I would have liked to banker one of the two scratchings in leg 1 but I don't know who is going to be favorite; it's too close too call so I've included both.
* Had I chosen 15scr only, then the playing cost would be halved to R5 400 but I've been down that road before where you banker a scratching against a close 2nd favorite and the 2nd favorite becomes the favorite or the other way around. Homey don't play dat game anymore.
* Soon I will have a daily downloadable pick 6, jackpot, PA for a small daily cost from my site and advice about whether one should engage the pick 6 or not. Most punters play the pick 6 just because it's there. Like a mountain that needs to be climbed. I like to look for value and edge in my pick 6. And shrewd construction of the tickets. Most punters are very good handicappers. They lose pick 6es sometimes with horses that figure. Or they get blown out by a dog. But they can't include all the runners they like and that is the disadvantage of a perm. It grows exponentially with every horse you add. Not so with multiple lower cost tickets. You load the tickets you like for a decent percentage and throw in a few roughies you fancy in the other tickets for a lower cost.

See attachment for a better view of the tickets below:

5% 10%
1 15scr,16scr x 3,2scr x 4,8,5,18scr,14,16 x 7,5,6,4 x 6,9,3,8 x 1,8,11,4 = R 76.8 R 153.6
2 15scr,16scr x 3,2scr x 4,8,5,18scr,14,16 x 7,5,6,4 x 6,9,3,8 x 17scr,6,12,15scr,16 = R96.0 R 192.0
3 15scr,16scr x 3,2scr x 4,8,5,18scr,14,16 x 7,5,6,4 x 1,10,4 x 1,8,11,4 = R 57.6 R 115.2
4 15scr,16scr x 3,2scr x 4,8,5,18scr,14,16 x 9,10,13,3,11,1 x 6,9,3,8 x 1,8,11,4 = R 115.2 R 230.4
5 15scr,16scr x 3,2scr x 1,3,17scr,15,10,12 x 7,5,6,4 x 6,9,3,8 x 1,8,11,4 = R 76.8 R 153.6
6 15scr,16scr x 4,7,10 x 4,8,5,18scr,14,16 x 7,5,6,4 x 6,9,3,8 x 1,8,11,4 = R 115.2 R 230.4
R 537.6 R 1,075.2

Attached files ArlingtonPick6upload.xls (18.5 KB)Â

Claassen's jockey arrangements in race 2 tell a story perhaps? Very hard card. I like Moonshine Lake and Venus Rising (e/w) but it is scary today and iffy weather only complicates it further.

i am just gonna drink some moon shine give today a miss.

save my money for Mother Russia

My silly 5 cents PA
1,6,8
1,2,7
3,5,7
4,5,6,8,9
4,7,8
1,3,6,11
4,5,6,7
5% = R365

No need to be shy about that strategy WW.......1 of my better wins this year was a 5% UK perm and scooped 35% of the nett pool........the strategy has also worked well for PE and Kimberly.....wish you well!