Kenilworth Tuesday

Discuss the card below

This is a very difficult card, a MR 79 being the highest rated race on the day, throw in loads of relatively unexposed horses, you could be left with a migraine and possibly no money at the end of the day.

I fancy Bad Habit (11/2) in the 3rd.

At 18/10, Drama Queen looks a bit short in the market because her conqueror, Capacity Crowd, finished stone last in open company on Saturday, that form is difficult to assess. Ferrari Red (28/10), looks the likely pace maker, Khumalo mustn't let Fourie get too far ahead, he could prove difficult to peg back. Driving Miss Daisy is another who has come out of the Cousin Liz race and won, bred for the extra, she could be the dark horse here.

Being a maiden, Bad Habit receives a pull at the weights, which I'm hoping is enough to reverse the placings with the three above her in the betting.

Not a confident selection, I think worth a go at the price.

on gallop i see Mr Prestage's runner has been backed big time 5s on other betting sites 8/1 ; 12/1 and 18/1

Race 6 - Chakri draw wide but on Handicap Drop from a feature . She could beat Marcus on Heaven's Embrace.

Race 1: Fighter
Race 2: Mirage
Race 3: Ferrari Red
Race 4: Vendee Globe
Race 5: Rocket Girl
Race 6: Heavens Embrace
Race 7: Bold Assassin
Race 8: Gimme Peace

Best Bets

Race 3: Drama Queen(5) 19-10
Race 5: Almost Captured(3) 4-1

Value Bets

Race 4: Sherwood Forest( 22-1
Race 6: Hammie's Fan(14) 12-1
Race 7: Bold Assassin(6) 9-1

Race 1

Candice Bass-Robinson
No 2 Chaac : 1000m could be a bit sharp first time out and he may be a
bit one-paced. He should need this but coming on nicely and looks to
be a nice horse. Fair run expected.
No 11 Three Two Charlie : Will need the experience first time out. We
need to learn about him, big horse who doesn't show a huge amount of
speed but may be different in a race.
Paul Reeves
No 4 Fighter has come on a lot from his debut. There are a few that
look decent but I am expecting a good run.
Snaith Racing
No 5 General Franco : Very nice type, expect a decent run.
No 9 Shinnecock : Has been gelded, working well and each-way chance.
Bill Prestage
No 6 Jean's Man shows good speed.
Michael Robinson
No 7 Macheath is a nice horse, will probably need he experience.
Piet Steyn
No 8 Rising Moon will need the run.
Joey Ramsden
No 10 Stormin Normin is a nice horse. If not too green can run well.

Race 2

Snaith Racing
No 1 Amy Johnson : Nice filly, if not too short could fight it out
No 2 Aye Aye : Small each-way chance, may be green.
Michael Robinson
No 3 Crosscourt will need the experience
Joey Ramsden
No 5 Ibra is a very good filly.
Glen Kotzen
No 6 Kathleen is quite useful.
Dean Kannemeyer
No 7 Khaya's Flower will need the run.
Vaughan Marshall
No 8 Mirage is a very nice filly, shows good work at home.
Paddy Kruyer
No 9 Mon Cherie is working nicely, may run a reasonable race.
Candice Bass-Robinson
No 10 Nan is starting to come to hand. This will be a bit quick for
her, Will need to come on with racing
No 11 Sailing Ship : Very nice filly and we expect her to run a fair
race first time out if she doesn't find the 1000m a bit quick.
No 13 Sweet Karma : Very consistent form thus far, there are one or
two highly thought of runners but she should be in the thick of
things.
Piet Steyn
No 15 Watch Me Now : Expecting improvement.
Paul Reeves
No 16 Why Leigh is a small filly but is speedy. This is a competitive
field but she should run well.

Race 3

Paul Reeves
No 1 Chilly Winter is trying 1400m and should prefer this distance. I
am thinking she will run well.
Candice Bass-Robinson
No 5 Drama Queen : Slightly the preference of our two runners, will
enjoy the extra and she should have a good winning chance despite
taking on some winners.
No 6 Gimme Gimme Gimme : Good debut and she should relish this trip.
She needs to strengthen a bit still but should be competitive.
Vaughan Marshall
No 7 White Lace : Very green, will need further.

Race 4

Piet Botha
No 3 Rockin' Ringo is working well at home, might just need the run.
Snaith Racing
No 7 Quest is doing well at home, is fit, each-way chance.
Paul Reeves
No 9 West Of Seattle has a shocking draw to overcome
No 16 Dayonaut is badly drawn and is trying 1400m.

Race 5

Candice Bass-Robinson
No 6 Strawberry Fire needed her last run, hoping to bounce back before
she goes to PE.
No 8 Crowded House : Back in a 1400m, hopeful of some improvement.

Race 6

Greg Ennion
No 11 Regal Ruby is trying 1600m. Both her wins were in sprint races
but we are trying some thing new.
Candice Bass-Robinson
No 12 Tattooed Rocker : Bringer her back in trip, she will drop out
from the draw and it is a competitive field but we are hoping to see
her running on.
Andries Steyn
No 15 Power Girl will need the run.

Race 7

Joey Ramsden
No 1 Ancestry is on the up.
Candice Bass-Robinson
No 7 Celestial Prince : Better suited to this strip, weight off his
back from a good draw, must have a money chance.
Peter Wrensch
No 9 Troop The Colour is very well. Consistent on hard ground. Prefers
the soft going and it has rained a bit but probably not enough for
this race. I expect him to run well.

Race 8

Candice Bass-Robinson
No 5 Mist Of Time : Touched off last start, ready to win now but in a
big field like this it will be a tough task from the draw.
No !3 Nolimitations ; Making improvement and will enjoy the trip but
looks a difficult race.
Paul Reeves
No 8 Al Jalali is trying 1800m and has a shocking draw.

Frankel and fourier r1

ibra r2 the 1st timers captain al normally go the mile and plus

bad habit to give Kumhalo double
and maybe q treble r4

Race 1 Stormin Normin win;)

I agree that it is a tricky card:
Race 1:
5 General Franco probably is very useful for Fourie to take the ride. 9 Shinnecock after gelding should be a big runner again and 4 Fighter had a pleasing debut. I do like the breeding of the Prestage youngster 6 Jean's Man and with Orffer up, they obviously think that it can run.

Race 2:
1 Amy Johnson, 5 Ibra and 8 Mirage are expected to be in the shake-up. I do like the Robinson runner 12 Stylish Icon. The Bass runners Sweet Karma with decent form and the unraced 11 Sailing Ship with Domeyer grabbing the ride cannot be ignored.

Race 3:
5 Drama Queen, 3 Ferrari Red and 4 Bad Habit should get us through.

Race 4:
Scary Race!
Obvious choices looks to be 1 Scribner, 3 Rocking Ringo and 7 Quest but look a lot further here!
4 Vendee Globe has a tough draw but bears watching.5 Caesura catches my eye being close enough on all of her runs and even stablemate Sherwood Forest can't be without a chance.One more to throw in is the erratic 12 Icon King. I'll stick with this lot to get through.

Race 5:3 Almost Captured and 5 Rocket Girl looks to have solid chances but 1 Kamaishi catches my eye. 7 Pearl Tiara and 2 Window to Africa should be enough to get through I hope.

Race 6:
1 Heaven's Embrace, 7 Rock on Wood and 8 Fortune Flies must go in. 10 Grandiflora, 11 Regal Ruby and 14 Hammies Fan will be added.

Race 7:
Stayers races are nightmare races often!
1 Ancestry 3 Parade March is the two that I'll go for with lots of trepidation.

Race 8:
2 Orange Bitters, 3 Gimme Peace 10 Six Degrees and 15 Miraculously ours.

R2

WHY LEIGH 40/1 E/W, paying 18/1 on bet365 for a top 7 finish
HOT SALSA 50/1 E/W, paying 20/1 on bet365 for a top 7 finish

Bi Pot:
5, 9 X 1, 8, 11, 12 X 3, 5 X 3,5, 7, 12 X 1,3 X 7, 14 = R256-00