Turffontein Sunday 7/6/15

Englander wrote: A few out today that I think have decent chances, certainly e/w. Unfortunately, a couple have already been backed. Anyway, I'll be doing the ones marked with an asterisk, combined with the two from the Ken card, in some large accies as well as breaking some of them up into patents. yankees or whatever. Any comments are mostly just from memory and I'm not going to talk about "others with chances" today... you'll be pleased to hear!

R1 * Misristocrat... she got a poor start and was a good 10 plus lengths back with maybe 300 to go but ran on really well to get within 1.5l of the seemingly tiring Modjadi, who is favourite here. The latter does have the huge advantage of the 1 box but given the way Misristocrat finished lto, she could still be strong enough over this longer distance to get up imo. Watch the replay and decide for yourselves, certainly worth an e/w for me. (Appie won't harm her chances either).

R2 Leadpipe Joe - Not a strong fancy and the market will need watching (to an extent!) but it doesn't look the strongest field to me so I'm going to chance this debutant. Owned by the breeder. Khumalo booked. Reasonable draw. A few of his half-siblings have had ok "careers", most notably Tiger's Retreat.

R4 * Woody Glow... ignore the latest on the sand and the penultimate over 2000 and this one's previous form around this distance gives him a better chance than the current 10/1 odds suggest imo. If I remember correctly, lines through Pacific G and Red Scimitar give him a decent chance and the 3 box won't harm his chances. Decent e/w value for me.

R5 * Fah Fee... would have been all over 7/1 if it was still available but sadly it is now half that, irrespective of price I think a big runner here.

R6 * Arabian World... comes out of the maidens but has faced some stronger than usual maiden fields in his last few outings. Won latest nicest nicely and of 14 runners in his penultimate no fewer than 6 won nto and only one was outside of the top 5. Fair draw in 5 and on a couple of lines, albeit over different distances, especially when taking into account draws, his form is competitive with that of the favourite's here, Aszkaban being a very good example with that opponent's experience also taken into account. Dance Kid should perhaps also be considered. This may be a little on the short side but he has run reasonably over 1800 (very little has come out of those runs though). Striker retains the ride after the horse was reportedly not striding lto and, with the fav having something of a tricky draw for the first time in his career, DK may be able to steal a march with the 2 box a big advantage.

R7 Lertasha... Quite competitive but I would have given this one an asterisk if the 10s were still available. Draws had much to do with it if I remember rightly.

R8 * Paree... again quite competitive but with the 1 box, Striker booked, back to a d she seems better over (won only c/d run) and just about holds a few of these on runs to Besame Mucho.

R9 King's V... one more chance! lol If not for the fact that I am not entirely convinced the d will suit then she would also have got the * treatment. Had excuses in some recent runs but with the 1 box here and Lerena up, she could prove to be best on the day in another competitive looking field. Suedette may be worth a small nibble at the prices.

Btw, normally when I quite like a few, I have a disaster!

Be(s)t of luck to all