Vaal Sand Thursday 23/5/13

Shaheen Shaw is a great guy.Great tipster as well.

thanks shrek!
will stick with lucky hand ew
Lucky hand was @10/1 last night it was easy to back ew.
Magic smoke is 10/11 too short to back.

gregbucks Wrote:

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> shrek Wrote:
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> > Welcome chickenrun, stay away from Chicken 'n
> > Chips or he will eat you.
>
> The old rooster will have to catch chickenrun
> first...


I know its not easy running without shoes on, but dont dispair, i know someone who has a pair of plakkies to lend you

Agree with a few other here Fit to Fight at 20/1 could represent some value with her Kimberly form (can't believe I just said that ).

Shaheen Shaw is a great guy and a top tipster.

Interesting racing on the sand; opinions vary as per usual - some thoughts from my side:

R3: Lunar Destiny decent first run over shorter; should prefer this trip, draw a concern, but probably good enough to place here; others with experience on the sand look very moderate to say the least; so I'm looking at Sea Fish to be the biggest danger to LD - Fort Wood's normally don't mind the sand, has a fair draw and not a bad pinultimate run behind Tequila Sunrise; another who could be in the shake up is Cockney Tiger - Tiger Ridge's also not bad on the sand in general; I think I'll play safe and include all 3 in the PA

R4: Competitive handicap where the scratchings have allowed Keagan's Jet to come into a more reasonable draw of 8 - should be right there again; Silver Specialist (break a leg, Elvis) a runner today imo, much better off at the weights with Spectroscope and good each way value imo; Mcallistor also loves this trip and has to be respected as well - those are my top 3 in no particular order; I think Baron Zemo prefers a bit shorter (and both BZ and Spectroscope seem held by SS); Hunter Valley prefers 1800 up imo.

R5: Very interesting conditions plate, where Magic Smoke at first glance looks home and hosed; however closer inspection shows that she has never won over this trip; stable companion Tally Blue has stamina doubts imo; most of the others look out at the weights; which leaves me with Dragon Vein (ran to a 98 last time on my ratings) who, but for a wide draw, would certainly be one of my top selections, Lucky Hand (ran to an 88 in her pinultimate run over this trip on my ratings) and the real dark horse Jet Set Model, who could be anything on the sand

R6: Very trappy contest imo; Start Your Engines did win his maiden over this trip, so should at least future again from a nice draw; however most of the others would not register a complete shock if they were to win; most likely ones to feature imo include (in no particular order) Memghar (widish draw against him), Authenticated, Celtic King, White Squall, Takaamul (both drawn wide) and Estancia (juvenile?)

R7: Another complicated affair imo; I think Hallowed (now with 4 kg's off his back courtesy of the apprentice) will put his disappointing last run behind him and looks the right one to me; Dennis the Menace certainly beatable over the 1200 imo, so I'm looking at Fall of Troy (has a nice draw and has won coming back from a rest before) as the main danger to H; Canta Libre is inconsistent, but could feature as well from a nice draw

R8: Not getting any easier; here again the 2 who stand out have just won their maidens; not much to choose between Show and Tell and Fab Cat imo; the competition look extremely moderate (to put it mildly); at a strectch the two that could trouble them are Hard to Resist (has a widish draw) and Danielle (also drawn wide and tries the sand to boot) - I can't find anything else :S

R9: Another very weak fillies and mares to close; can't really split Beautiful Dawn, Boujis and Velvet Jar on form, so I'm including all 3 in the PA and hope for the best; Flying Wendy is inconsistent (well most of these are), but has won over the trip and could feature from a good draw; again I can't find anything else :S

I think everything will pay bombs (especially if Magic Smoke gets beat) so have a go with your fancies - it may be your lucky day (tu)

Box the Leon Erasmus horses in the first...

gregbucks Wrote:

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> Box the Leon Erasmus horses in the first...


Won't that hurt them. <

my stable quartet for the day

R 4 double float - Silver / Baron with field. ( of course i'm biased )

todays one YANKEE

RAPID BEAT / SILVER / SMART GIRL ( also SHATTERERD ) / DENNIS THE MENNIS

good punting guys.

shrek Wrote:

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> gregbucks Wrote:
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> > Box the Leon Erasmus horses in the first...
>
>
> Won't that hurt them. <

lol...< and my daily budget if they don't come in...()

Sioux She like it today..............(tu)

all the best to brasss, hope the blinker strike does work and T.steel get out frm the maiden ranks (tu)