Kenilworth Saturday

Mac, its the same as Neil's treble. Posted last nite.

for me this is a day to nail the bookies.drier filly in 3rd,variety club onto blake.imo those 3 are certainties and then add your fancies for places in multiples.in the politician stakes i really like b crawfords horse as an e/w,and i think beach beauty will be hard to beat.hope everyone has a profitable day and hit the bookies hard.

Then add Blake in the last and a yankee for good measure.

Mac Wrote:

---

> Last night we watched "The Good, The Bad and The
> Ugly". The Bad was searching for a guy called
> Jackson!! And then this Jackson changed his name
> to Billy Carson (Billy Carson like Willie Carson
> the Queen's ex-jock) - too many omens for me to
> stomach......(I'm a Jackson nut but have brassed
> him (for now) in the Queen's Plate......)


he'll run a very good race -

Sorry Mac, never even looked at previous pages went straight to page 3 and posted. Good to know we share the confidence..

Thought it was Neelan and NeilP that had the same ATC...??

gregbucks Wrote:

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> Thought it was Neelan and NeilP that had the same
> ATC...??


Korrek - yep it is

PA: 2x 2,7,8 x1x7x10x 1,5 x 1,3,7,8,9,11 x 2,3,5 x 3,7,9,12, 16. Yankee: R1. Blue Train. R2. Masked Lady. R3. Platinum Ruler. R4. Earths Orbit. ATC - places. R1 Blue Train. R4 Dark Journey. R5 Dubai Gina. R6 Cap Alright. R9 Patriotic Rebel. Add R2 Masked Lady and R3 Platinum Ruler to win. Best of luck to all

Idiots Each Way Bets...

Race 1 #1
Race 8 #1
Race 9 #13

R3 2 PLATINIUM RULER
R4 8 EARTHS ORBIT , NORTHERN HERITAGE
R5 14 HAMMIES HOOKER , 15 JET AGLOW , 1 BEACH BEAUTY , 8 RAZZLE DAZZLE ROSE , 6 VIVIA MARIA
R6 5 CAPE ROYAL
R7 3 CAT'S PAW , 11 THE WHICH DOCTOR
R8 5 POMODORO , 2 VARIETY CLUB , 11 DEPARDIEU , 6 MASTER PLAN
R9 6 ABERCROMBIE , 3 ACT FAST

Tommy_Hotspur Wrote:

---

> Here is my 5 cents worth:
>
> Race 1: no picks
>
> Race 2: I guess ti could be the exacta Greg tipped
> us by tend to lean to the Kotzen horse. Princess
> is out of a hallgate mare and being a speed
> influence perhaps she is going to be too quick for
> this tough 1200m. But none the less thanks for
> posting and your transparency.
> Race 3: I like the Rebel King colt nineteen
> fourteen. I think he has massive improvement to
> come and with the weight turn around with Silk
> Road, he should go close.
> Race 4: Earths Orbit is very well in here but with
> the top weight being 54kg's, I'm not sure about
> this race. Put in one or two extra.
> Race 5: Tough race this. I think Beach Beauty is
> well in and a worthy favorite, but I'm concerned
> about the draw. If she pulls and is too keen from
> that draw Sean is going to have his hands full. I
> think there are some other runners in the filed,
> incase BB plays up a little. Dubai Gina has a big
> shout, pity about the jock , Bambina Stipes has
> some kind of a chance, pity about the draw and my
> roughie is JEt Aglow even though she is out at the
> weights, I think she is improving and this trip
> will suit her well!
> Race 6: Cape Royal not for me. He could surely run
> a place but not with my vote. I like Cap Alright.
> If he gets a claimer on her will be hard to beat
> however don't ignore Captain Harry. He is (now)
> 5kg's better off with Cap Alright for a one length
> beating.....should be taken note of
> Race 7: I liked the way Jackie O won last time so
> that should bring American Fantasy into the race
> too.....I don't like this race.
> Race 8: Lets be honest Variety Club is the best
> miler in SA, no doubt. My only concern and for me
> its two BIG ones are as follows: 1) The draw,
> obviously. 2) He has bled before and if he gets
> put under pressure from the gun to get to the lead
> then he could be in trouble. Also I think perhaps
> a pace maker may have made more sense in this
> spot, but I guess Ramsden didn't know he was going
> to get this draw.......Who can win? I have NO
> IDEA. Perhaps Jackson or Pomodoro but for me, I
> would load up in the Jackpot and enjoy the race.
> Race 9: Hardest race on the card....I like
> Patriotic Rebel...nothing else!
> Race 10: I'm not sure that blake is the same horse
> he was....Having said that I can't really find
> anything to beat him. If you haven't had a bet yet
> today I don't think this is the race to start!!!!
>
> Have an enjoyable day!


Fantastic to see so many posting their views - some of us will be more right than wrong, others more wrong than right, now here's my take for those who want to get it ALL right <

Check if the wind starts up - a head wind could make it tougher for those front runners.

R3: Platinum Ruler value at any price
R4: Not too convinced about the 3yr old - both Miss Ipanema and Jean's Pride are big runners imo
R5: Beach Beauty the right one - only way she gets beat would be if she found trouble from a mediocre draw - Viva Maria could be the one to take advantage, but it's worrying that she finds no betting support - Dubai Gina seems good each way value - I don't like the 3 yr olds at these weights
R6: Cap Alright very well in - danger imo is the stable companion Casual Var - especially into a head wind (Jinzo then also becomes a factor)imo Cape Royal has his work cut out at these weights
R7: Very competitive - The Which Doctor looks the right one, for me the dangers are Cat's Paw and American Fantasy (especially into a head wind)
R8: I think it will be a fantastic duel between Variety Club and Pomodoro - Sean Tarry on record as saying the Met is Pomodoro's reall mission, so even from the draw Variety Club may have the edge. I don't believe Jackson is a threat today, I do think he is effective over the 1600, but from a wide draw he will probably come from too far back.
R9: A real minefiled, even the 40/1 chance Man from Japan has some claims on his earlier form.
R10: Blake value at any price.

Best of luck to those with runners (tu)

Not many betting opportunities at Kenilworth.
If the PA goes to form it will pay peanuts.
If it pays big noone could have predicted it anyway.
Best Bet, BLAKE