Spencer

With all due respect Hukky you are so wide off the mark I took quite a while to stop laughing!

If you must know my punting theory is as follows. The price represents the markets view of a horses chance of winning. If I think the market has made an incorrect assessment I will have a bet. How can you figure out if you have an edge on the market if you don't consider what the market price is?

I have virtually stopped punting horses in SA cause it's so hard to find value with the market betting to 120+% virtually all the time.

Trying to figure out a horses chances of winning a race is pretty impossible without studying every material factor, which includes form.

Do I often get it wrong? Yes. Do I put enough time into studying form? No.

I'm not a proffessional punter and do it more as a hobby so my form assessment could be better but in my opinion not worrying about the price is the quickest way to the poor house.

So as you say "happy punting!!!"

Forget betting percentages!!! Fair enough Sasky you make a decent point, but if its betting percentages you're worried about, you may have a tough time explaining the inflated pick 6 payouts we've recently experienced nation wide - this can only mean that people who are too influenced by the betting have done their money in recent times.

To Magiclips - if you're bored with this debate you've got 2 options

1: Log of
2: Comment on other threads.

Good idea. Either way. Goodbye.