TURFFONTEIN SATURDAY 23 MARCH 2024

Frodo wrote:

Seems mostly straight-forward today - thoughts - 

R1: Just the Two of Us would not have to be a star to beat these - but I think would have been shorter in the betting if she was really fancied - not a lot between Waitforgreenlight and Enchanting Lady - narrowly prefer Waitforgreenlight

R2: Zenobia's Gold looks ready to win - blinkers today, so not sure how she will act with those; Ilha de Orange needs to show more, so the Laird first-timer probably the biggest danger

R3: Mastership has strong form so I think difficult to beat - only danger imo the rested Mocha Frappe, but betting support seems to indicate that he would be no walk-over

R4: More competitive sprint - both Dreamland and Green Flash have favorable draws - Green Flash has had only two starts, so could be better than rated; What a Tiger could surprise at best

R5: Both Time Fo Orchids and Woman of Power are smart fillies - VIrgin RIver gets the 4kg allowance, which could make her competitive over the 1000, but I prefer the other two

R6: Marauding Horde has found his trip and also looks very hard to beat here

R7: Trois Trois Quatre is overdue for his next win and looks to have the weight advantage with many of these - but he has been quite heavily raced which could count against him; Viva Brazil should prefer this track and tries blinkers - any improvement here will make him very competitive; there are a few others here which can surprise like Raffles and WIllows Wish

R8: This seems more competitive - Sound Machine beat a weak field very easily and needs to be considered along with the obvious choices Kissing Machine, Happy Mo and October Fair

R9: Another handicap; Mary's Greenlight in form and comes back in trip, so must have chance; Mizzen Sail has improved recently and rates a danger, while Elembee seemed to not quite get the 1800 last time, so reverting to 200m shorter could be what she is looking for

Enjoy 

AJ Yorker wrote:

Race 7:
Viva Brazil
Entered into SA Derby on Champions Day.
Was outpaced on the tight inside track last time out but finished strongly late.
Will suit the long running on standside and the 2000m.
Low weight.
Big runner.