Turffontein Inside Track 28/10/2016

pirates wrote: top class ride de melo up there with the best in the land this kid

Andycap wrote: On the button as usual Frodo...

Now give me a pick 6 banker please...

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durbs wrote:

pirates wrote: top class ride de melo up there with the best in the land this kid

Glad you like him pirates.If I had backed all his four fancied runners in the first four races I would have come out at a loss.His next two rides are biggish prices,that's what he likes to win on.

Frodo wrote: I'm here

Cold morning - card dominated by tough handicaps - will have to box clever :ohmy:

R2: I fancy Sabina's Dynasty - beat fillies rated 68 and 63 by 6 and 15 lengths last time - got the 8 points max penalty, so comes in here off 71 :huh: biggest danger imo Smokey Affair who is dropping in the ratings; Diamond Noir obviously not without a chance, but tries 1600 for the first time

R3: Harlan County looks the right one here; La Scala is improving and has a nice draw, needs to improve more to beat HC imo; Volcanic Sunset bad draw and may need the run - watch next time; roughie for trifectas and quartets could be What a Storm - out of a staying family, has pole position and ran on nicely in his debut over 1200

R4: Interesting 3-yr old fillies handicap, where many have chances imo; even the roughie Barbie Doll; she finished in front of both Azkur and Tundra Taita in the maidens - gets weight from both of those today and I think she needed her last run badly

R5: Low level fillies and mares handicap; Microbe tries 1600 and looks to have plenty of scope, but she has to give weight to older (very moderate) fillies and has wide draw to boot; stable mate Iridium Silver has pole position and consistent recent form and with Sammi Moosa look naturals for the PA; for a roughie I think Legend Seeker is worth including; seems to prefer this track and may have a chance on her penultimate from a good draw

R6: Can one trust the appies - Mambo Symphony likes this track, has a wide draw, but must come into this; for me Walter Smoothie is a bit high in the ratings; only his third start though, so probably has improvement to come and has a handy draw; Edison has been running consistently and now gets the 4kg claim so would be my first choice; from Gonnafly downwards all the others are under sufferance, so probably looking for places at best

R7: Best Kept Secret certainly not going to recoup her price tag, but should at least go close here - slightly disappointing in her recent starts though, so could be worth opposing in the P6 and JP; imo Amoretta ran to higher than 61 when winning her maiden, and from a good draw needs to be considered; Secret Vision and Burundi Bush also have claims from fair draws

R8: Not getting any easier; Code Writer needed her last run, but on previous form is not going to Hollywood, so definitely worth opposing imo; Fly North another who imo won her maiden with a higher rating than given and gets a 4 kg allowance - only need the apprentice to stay aboard from a good draw and should be thereabouts; none of the others bar maybe Gold Shades can be safely excluded though

R9: These all seem capable of beating each other on any given day; Stunned, Dromedaris and Champions Cup probably safest from a PA point of view, but I have a suspicion that Sabastian (ignore his last start) could be the dark horse

Enjoy

ElvisisKing wrote: thanks Frodo for EDISSON, just come back from the shops..... surprised to see he shiiit in by 7.5 L... thats how they should win... give that mana Bells , you're on fire today.