TURFFONTEIN, 21/03

Simply royal will cruise in like her brother yesterday

Zietsman Oosthuizen wrote: Simply royal will cruise in like her brother yesterday

Hopefully someone can upload her debut run, to appreciate how easily this horse won. Looking at the result on paper doesn't do justice to the manner in which she won.

I have a good eway bet for today
Race 6 no 2 Manx Park 16/1 was 20/1
I see trainer comment need rating to drop,
rating has drop from 92 in Aug ,to 84
Last win 14 July 2016 off a merit rating of 84 same as today
has raced in higher classes last 6 runs
down in class to day
on the run behind Gun Fighter up to 4kg better off wih No 7ANF(-0.25L) and 6kg with no 8 Roquebrune -2.50L
On the run behind Grease paint he beat ANF by 4.25L , now 3kg better of
No7 All Night Flight better of 4 kg for .045 beating with no 3 The Thinker, so The Thinker held by Manx Park through collateral form
through collateral lines he also better off with 4.5.6.
He has won twice 2nd time after a rest
unknown factor no 9 but up in class, on a line through No 8, both ran behind Rivarine, no 8 R got no 9 SK held
Mr. Binda also in form

I believe this horse will start shorter than 16/1 at the jump
I know races is not run on paper but I am sure to have a run for my money
has taken some of the 16/1 and 76/25 a place

Western warrior (win) :woohoo:
TIMEDTOPERFECTION (PLACE)_ :woohoo:
ZAITUNAY BAY (WIn) :side:



TORRA TORRA (BANKER) :woohoo:

PAREE & LAST BATTLE (BEST PLACE BETS) :evil:

Seems to be a load of money for Nordic Rebel in the first..anyone herd anything?

UNCHAINED MELODY
CAT'S WHISKERS BEST E/W
ZAITUNAY BAY places STUDENT GRANT but for stable virus would not miss
RED ROOM massive chance ... inc tern unstoned american tiger and racing socks in exotics
SHIVERING SEA e/w

win treble made to conquer/american tiger/all night flight

am following gavin today

I thought we had a chance on Saturday .... but The Elmo Effect had other ideas - today looks much more difficult imo ... thoughts:

R1: Unchained Melody holds both Western Warrior and Prince of War on a line through Zip Line - and if the blinkers do not affect him negatively, he should beat them again .... so the obvious danger looks to be the first time Nordic Rebel ... who is finding lots of support ... another battle between Striker and Gavin looming ...

R2: Low rated fillies and mares handicap - Little Swift has won at this track, so probably deserves to be favorite; another Striker vs Gavin battle appears on the cards, as Tell My Star is also a winner at this track and finding bettong support; Save the Day also has great form this track and trip and can not be ignored; the roughies to consider imo are Queen's Jet (gets blinkers and a tongue-tie in an attempt to address breathing issues) and Goodness Me (first run around the turn, but with the 4 kg allowance should hold Tandana, who in turn should hold Sha-Boom Sha-Boom)

R3: Student Grant looks the right one on form, but I think it would take a brave man to follow the stable at the moment, so the value imo lies with Zaitunay Bay, who holds both It's a True Story and Huhi on previous meetings) - but to be sure to survive the P6, I think all 4 of these need inclusion

R4: Like may of the races today, this is a very competitive handicap; American Tiger has at least won twice at the track and looks well in, but the stable has not been firing recently; Air Force Legend comes off an easy maiden win, but that was over further at a galloping track, so only the race will show if he has the necessary acceleration to win at this track; my tentative first choice would be Red Room, who ran a good race over the track and trip last time, has a fair draw and the stable's runners did ok on Saturday; Tora Tora and Racing Socks can't be ignored; the roughie I'm including is Daytona Charger - very low weight and probably needed his last run over shorter - and he is a winner in his only try this track and trip

R5: Simply Royal will be many people's banker and due to the competitive nature of the other races, this does seem the logical choice - but the BIG P6 is not often won by following the sheep if the budget allows, I think one could do worse than to include Paree - a 6 time winner, of which 3 of these wins came over this track and trip - and SR only receives 0.5 kgs from her

R6: Not easy - Dolphin (if ignoring his last run) has good form this track and trip and is my first choice; not much between D and the filly Movie Show - I just think Dolphin at best will hold her; Roquebrune imo has something to find on form and also tries the turn for the first time; of the others, many seem to not prefer this 1000 - exception probably Silver King, but he takes on stronger imo

R7: As the betting indicates, 8 of the 9 runners have little between them - the exception could be the maiden winner She's Foxy - so either take a chance that she is better than rated, or use a pin if the budget does not allow including all of them

R8: Lots of if's and but's here as well ..... Mr Rambo ran well here last time and has a good draw and is my first choice; Pistolero tries the blinkers, so perhaps he can sit closer to the pace and still produce his customary late finish; the real roughie here is Captain Coyote - ran less than 3 lengths behind Unparallelled many moons ago - has his 2nd start after a break of 30 months, so obviously should still be in need of this - but could spoil the party (especially if the stable is successful in the first leg with Zaitonay Bay)

Enjoy

RACE ONE grey glory :lol: :lol: if the commentator says it fast enough he mite end up saying "GAY GLORY" HAHAHAHA #tongueTwista :woohoo: :evil:

Race7: She's Foxy won easily last run, in a good time, but did not beat much. She has an awkward draw here, but we are expecting a good run. This is a competitive handicap, but hopefully she can show the necessary improvement to win again.