TURFFONTEIN, 01/11

  • onlikeascon
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Re: TURFFONTEIN, 01/11

8 years 7 months ago
#639437
Race 2 KNYSNA ROSE

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  • Frodo
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Re: TURFFONTEIN, 01/11

8 years 7 months ago - 8 years 7 months ago
#639438
Bit of a train smash in the BP - already on the back foot :(

Hopefully can make it up - some decent racing imo:

R2: Will be interesting to see how the draw down the straight plays out; on a line through Lebanese Tractor, French Legend has Sha-Boom Sha-Boom held; however FL comes off a break, so it could end up close between the two - imo they dominate the contest

R3: Unrehearsed also fancied strongly last time - so although he may get it right tonight, he is too short in the market for me - the filly Jameson Girl may give him something to think about with normal improvement

R4: Shivering Sea looks the right one - but may find it tough to give 7.5 kgs to Spring Dance who is overdue; if Sha-Boom Sha-Boom runs well in the 2nd, it may pay to consider A Woman's Will; Modjadji and Tell My Star next best imo

R5: IF Tahini can repeat her last victory over the much higher rated Negroamara and Juxtapose, it should be no race; if she falls victim to the '2'nd run after a rest syndrome', the race becomes more open ; the obvious two to take advantage being Sensible Lover and Fort Ember, while Paree on her penultimate can make the quartet pay

R6: Not an easy handicap; the ones in the betting all have obvious claims - roughie to consider imo is Wild Brier, who once ran less than 5 lengths behind Abashiri at level weights - MR has now plummeted - and we know the story about class and form

R7: As stated earlier I really fancy Dealer's Charm at this track, even before Copper Pot was taken out I thought that DC would prove very hard to beat - still very good value imo

R8: A bit of a nightmare to close; again the ones in the betting have obvious chances - looking for a spook I think maybe Jet Fever can give Scott Kenny a big double after bagging the first race - big drop in MR after running just more than 7 lengths behind Enaad in the winter

Enjoy B)
Last edit: 8 years 7 months ago by Frodo.

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  • bayern
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Re: TURFFONTEIN, 01/11

8 years 7 months ago
#639442
R4, I think Tell My Star is a runner. Has run to much stronger than facing this evening. If the betting is a guide, then must be at least 4/1 if Modjadji is a 9/2 chance, and is not weighted to finish ahead of Tell My Star.
Guessing has never been widely acclaimed as a good gambling strategy.

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  • Tim
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Re: TURFFONTEIN, 01/11

8 years 7 months ago
#639443
Amber Flash does alright this straight and could place

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  • Pirhobeta
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Re: TURFFONTEIN, 01/11

8 years 7 months ago
#639444
Mind Shade...a place

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  • Chris van Buuren
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Re: TURFFONTEIN, 01/11

8 years 7 months ago
#639446
I think this game has now finally beaten me into submission.......

Pipkin

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  • Dean321
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Re: TURFFONTEIN, 01/11

8 years 7 months ago
#639447
bayern wrote: R4, I think Tell My Star is a runner. Has run to much stronger than facing this evening. If the betting is a guide, then must be at least 4/1 if Modjadji is a 9/2 chance, and is not weighted to finish ahead of Tell My Star.

just do not leave out spring dance in the exotics.

De kocks horse ran just as how I expected.

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  • CnC 306
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Re: TURFFONTEIN, 01/11

8 years 7 months ago
#639448
I am going to go for Lebanese Tractor each way and a boxed excata with Shivering Sea

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  • Pirhobeta
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Re: TURFFONTEIN, 01/11

8 years 7 months ago
#639449
Chris van Buuren wrote: I think this game has now finally beaten me into submission.......

Pipkin

:) LoL

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  • Dean321
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Re: TURFFONTEIN, 01/11

8 years 7 months ago
#639451
Spring Dance
Tahini
Frodos selection. (Dealers Charm)

Mixed doubles with a head on punt for Spring Dance.

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  • Tim
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Re: TURFFONTEIN, 01/11

8 years 7 months ago
#639456
Lebanese Tractor can still improve here.

Featherfoot in the next likes this course and hoping for a place at big odds.

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  • Pirhobeta
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Re: TURFFONTEIN, 01/11

8 years 7 months ago
#639457
Spring Dance
Modjadji

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