Vaal Thursday 7 March

R2 10 GLOBAL POWER
R3 1 THE SANQUHARIAN
R4 4 ORLANDO MAGIC
R5 7 IMPRESSA
R6 6 ABBOTSBURY
R7 9 ALJAWHARA
R8 7 ORATORS DAUGHTER
R9 14 SWEET CANDY

Frodo Wrote:

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> rob faux Wrote:
>

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>

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> > ShezaPunter Wrote:
> >
>

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>
> >

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> > > No needa study, 1 bet Orators Daughter shit
> > in..
> >
> >
> > Still very well handicapped due to the capping
> > rule!!
> > Should win handily if holds that form.
>
>
> Was the capping rule applied - only got 6 points?
> It depends on which one is used as 'line horse,
> but imo ran pretty close to 85 last time?
>
> So imo could be handicapped correctly here - of
> course she could still improve again to win easily
> :S


Frodo,you could be right..........I have her rated higher and assumed a capping...........i do agree that her rating is still a bit subjective ,but I have her higher for now ...........maybe have to review after today???? :

scotia Wrote:

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> Will take Global Power double on to Orators


Global power now scratched...

I actually ended up taking the treble with Miss D for Sunday, so it will have to be just the double (tu)

scotia Wrote:

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> I actually ended up taking the treble with Miss D
> for Sunday, so it will have to be just the double
> (tu)


Dave I see you have frightened Hollywood so much that they only opened Miss D at 3/1. <

Value bet of the day for me in Race 3 # 5 Chapel Of Love beat the favorite last time out and if repeating that run should go close and at 20/1 a win and 3,6/1 a place. Take swingers with The Sanquharian. If Greystone was not trained by Mike De Kock it wouldn't be favorite in this race, false favorite IMO.

rob faux Wrote:

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> Frodo Wrote:
>

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>

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> > rob faux Wrote:
> >
>

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>
> >

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> > > ShezaPunter Wrote:
> > >
> >
>

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>
> >
> > >

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> > > > No needa study, 1 bet Orators Daughter shit
> > > in..
> > >
> > >
> > > Still very well handicapped due to the
> capping
> > > rule!!
> > > Should win handily if holds that form.
> >
> >
> > Was the capping rule applied - only got 6
> points?
> > It depends on which one is used as 'line horse,
> > but imo ran pretty close to 85 last time?
> >
> > So imo could be handicapped correctly here - of
> > course she could still improve again to win
> easily
> > :S
>
>
> Frodo,you could be right..........I have her rated
> higher and assumed a capping...........i do agree
> that her rating is still a bit subjective ,but I
> have her higher for now ...........maybe have to
> review after today???? :


Yes today should tell us - takes on pretty useful sorts in Sea Shadow and Lady Calumet; interesting runner at the weights to me is Music Affair.

Regarding the rating of OD - in the race where she beat Negev, I used Legal Account as the line horse (assuming that Negev may have needed the run) and even with that, Besame Mucho ran 8 points better than her rating :S

shrek Wrote:

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> Value bet of the day for me in Race 3 # 5 Chapel
> Of Love beat the favorite last time out and if
> repeating that run should go close and at 20/1 a
> win and 3,6/1 a place. Take swingers with The
> Sanquharian. If Greystone was not trained by Mike
> De Kock it wouldn't be favorite in this race,
> false favorite IMO.

Careful re the start Shrek, got close last time because he got away relatively on terms and was well worth a rand risk at 66s,,, he's an idiot again but I would really like to see a drift as there is no guarantee he will not return to breaking very poorly

Englander Wrote:

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> shrek Wrote:
>

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>

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> > Value bet of the day for me in Race 3 # 5
> Chapel
> > Of Love beat the favorite last time out and if
> > repeating that run should go close and at 20/1
> a
> > win and 3,6/1 a place. Take swingers with The
> > Sanquharian. If Greystone was not trained by
> Mike
> > De Kock it wouldn't be favorite in this race,
> > false favorite IMO.
>
> Careful re the start Shrek, got close last time
> because he got away relatively on terms and was
> well worth a rand risk at 66s,,, he's an idiot
> again but I would really like to see a drift as
> there is no guarantee he will not return to
> breaking very poorly


Thanks Englander, I am just taking a small EW because of the price difference between him and Greystone. I make the Southern Taste form much stronger anyway but at 20's can't get too hurt.

shrek Wrote:

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> Thanks Englander, I am just taking a small EW
> because of the price difference between him and
> Greystone. I make the Southern Taste form much
> stronger anyway but at 20's can't get too hurt.

I started a wee summary today but deleted and stopped after race 3, too tired and not enough ones I liked at odds... but my now deleted write up for R3 was actually very similar to the statement you made there (tu)

HAH !! MAdji labelled Chapel also :... Is a sign eye tell u !!! Of what I dunno but is a sign...

Imo the 3rd is a straight match between The Sanquharian and Royal Roy (from the draws it will be interesting to see if they drift towards the centre of the course for each other's company) - Greystone needs to improve a bit to match those imo

Most of the other races very difficult imo - as mentioned Orator's Daughter could be the one to rely on - but certainly not an odds-on shot imo. Slighly Blonde looks good value to me at 12/1 and I have been on Knock and Announce the last couple of times - could repay me today at decent odds - some others that could sneak a place at crazy odds are Olympia Beijing and Sweet Candy

Enjoy (tu)