Moved Captain's summary on to this thread as it would be foolish to let it just disappear on the other thread...
Captain1803 [ PM ]
EPL 10-11 November
November 09, 2012 10:19AM Registered: 7 months ago
Posts: 2
Good Day Guys
Here are my thoughts and picks for this weekend.
SOTON score just under 2 goals a game and conced 2 goals a game. 80% of their games finish over 2.5 goals in their games. They have never kept a clean sheet and failed to score on only 20% of their games. Swansea score and concede the exact same number of goals at 1.25. They have failed to score in 75% of their matches and do score in 1 in every 5. Away from home, only 25% of the matches end over 2.5 goals.
My Pick. SOTON to win 2-1. Best bet, O2.5 goals.
Stoke struggle to score at home. Just under 1 goal a game. They concede even less at 0.25 a game at home. 75% of their home matches end with them keeping a clean sheet, but they failed to score in 50% of their games. None of their home games end over 2.5 goals. QPR struggle to score away at just 1 goal a game. Should not be strong enough to break down a disciplined and destructive Stoke defence. They have kept clean sheets in none of their away games though only fail to score in 20% of their games. (who have they scored against? Check their defencive abilities.) 60% of their away games finish over 2.5 goals. They have scored against some good defences, but I don’t think they have chance against a solid Stoke defence
My Pick Stoke to win 1-0. Best bet, under 2.5 goals (to confirm after check on QPR’s past results)
Everton average 2 goals a game at home, conceding justover 1 goal. They have scored in every home game and kept a clean sheet in 25% of their games. 75% of their home games finish over 2.5 goals. Sunderland struggle to score away from home but look to have a decent defence. Only conceding 1.2 goals on the road. However, they have failed to score in 60% of their games on the road and 40% of their away gam,es finish over 2.5 goals.
My Pick everton to win 1-0. Best bet, under 2.5 goals.
Wigan slightly more goals than they score at home. They have kept no clean sheets at home and only failed to score once . 80% of their home games end over 2.5 goals. WBA struggle on the road and score under 1 goal a game. They have kept 0 clean sheets away and only failed to score in 25% of their away matches.
My pick 1-1 draw. Best bet, both teams to score.
Goals, Goals, Goals. Arsenal are in trouble. The club just has an aura of unhappiness. At home, the gunners score an average of 2 goals a game, but concede only 0.75. Remember though, of late, their defence has been shockingly bad. You can see it in the fact that they concede in half their games at home. Fulham score 1.8 goals a game away and concede almost 2.5. They have kept a clean sheet in none of their away games and failed to score in only 20%. Add the extra spice of a London derby and we may see a bit of an upset
My pick Arsenal to win 3-2. Best Bet, over 2.5 goals
Reading score just under 2 goal a game at home and concede even more than that. They have never kept a clean sheet nor have they failed to score in any of their matches with 80% of their home encounters finishing over 2.5 goals. Norwich Struggle to score on the road only scoring 0.6 goals a game and conceding 2.4 goals. Norwich has kept no clean sheets away and 40% of their games finish over 2.5 goals
My pick Reading to win 2-1. Best bet, Reading to win
Aston Villa score and concede 1.25 goals a game at home. Kept clean sheets in only 25% of matches but have never failed to score. Only 25% of their home games finish over 2.5 goals. Man U score over 2 goals away and concede 1.2 goals away. They keep a clean sheet in only 20% of matches. 80% of matches away end over 2.5 goals
My pick, Man U to win 3-1. Best bet Man U to win.
Man City score 2.2 goals a game and concede under 1 goal at home. Spurs are a goal scoring machine away from home and have not failed to score in any of their matches.
My Pick. Man City to win 3-1. Best bet, both teams to score
Newcastle score and concede the same 1.2 goals a game at home. They do not keep clean sheets nor do they fail to score with 60% of their home games ending over 2.5. West Ham come to Newcastle goal shy at 0.75 goals a game and 1.5 goals conceded away. West ham struggle to score on the road but 75% of their matches do end over 2.5 goals. Some nice spice is added to this match up as you have some players facing their old Clubs, starting with Sam Alladyce who was sacked by Newcatle. Then you have Nolan and Carroll who were once the darlings of the Newcastle, and Demba Ba who moved in the opposite direction. I smell a red card or 2 here,
My Pick Newcastle to win 2-0. Best bet, Newcastle to win
Chelsea v Liverpool
Chelsea are scoring at home this season, but also conceding more than a goal a game. Chelsea though have never failed to score. And 60% of their matches finish over 2.5 goals. Liverpool have a better record away from Anfield as at Anfield. Scoring 2 goals a game, but also conceding 2 goals a game. They have not kept a clean sheet on the road and only failed to score in 1 in 5 games.
My Pick 2-2. Best Bet, both teams to score.
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