Arlington Friday

Bob Brogan
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Arlington Friday

13 years 3 months ago

#203800

Discuss Friday racing below

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Dave Scott
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Re: Re: Arlington Friday

13 years 3 months ago

#203821

Looks a difficult meeting

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Sham Racing
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Re: Re: Arlington Friday

13 years 3 months ago

#203831

Morning, early today as we at Dbn airport waiting for flight to PE. We have 3 runners today.

Race 2 OK Corral tries blinkers today,hope he will keep eyes front at the end.

Race 4 Audit Report very well and expect a big run.

Race 6 Sydneys Gift include in PAs

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gregbucks
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Re: Re: Arlington Friday

13 years 3 months ago

#203832

Cmon Indy the best for me on the day...Don't leave Welsh Kitten out your play, back over 1000 metres, better trip imo...

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magiclips
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Re: Re: Arlington Friday

13 years 3 months ago

#203833

Tough card, but the way Go Diego Go won last time suggests to me he can follow up and he is my tentative best bet of the day, Ozymandias ran well in a WFA Listed race the only time he ran at Arlington and now gets blinkers. With any improvement he can win. Burlaine Oasis caught the eye on debut and can improve over the longer distance, while the last race could be a nightmare but a couple of bob each way on Icy Zone won't kill anyone.

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gregbucks
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Re: Re: Arlington Friday

13 years 3 months ago

#203835

Sham Racing Wrote:

> Morning, early today as we at Dbn airport waiting
> for flight to PE. We have 3 runners today.
>
> Race 2 OK Corral tries blinkers today,hope he will
> keep eyes front at the end.
>
> Race 4 Audit Report very well and expect a big
> run.
>
> Race 6 Sydneys Gift include in PAs

You can't seem to get a decent draw with OK Corral hey....:X

All the best today...(tu)

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Sham Racing
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Re: Re: Arlington Friday

13 years 3 months ago

#203837

Greg, he drew 38 again in noms for 9/12 March noms. Going to speak to Racing board as it seems impossible for one horse to continually get the worst draw.

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magiclips
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Re: Re: Arlington Friday

13 years 3 months ago

#203839

That's a fallacy, Sham racing. Every draw is a separate event, like the toss of a coin. It can come up heads ten times in a row and (assumiong it's a normal coin) the odds of it being heads the next time is still 50/50. A horse is just as likely to draw 70 in a field of 70 as he is to draw 1, and his draw in past races has no bearing on the probability whatsoever.

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toothman
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Re: Re: Arlington Friday

13 years 3 months ago

#203841

Love Is Magic - race 2.

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Sham Racing
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Re: Re: Arlington Friday

13 years 3 months ago

#203843

Sure Magic, but once before they found a particular horse name that "stuck" and was always drawn last, so can happen again. When Ok does get a good draw he is going to think he is facing the wrong way.

I know what you saying is correct but probability definitely gave this horse a miss.....

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magiclips
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Re: Re: Arlington Friday

13 years 3 months ago

#203844

Of course, I'm basing what I said on a perfectly fair draw. If there's a glitch in the system (and I'm not saying there is, but if) then that is a very different matter.

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