Topic of the day " Merit Ratings"

mr hawaii Wrote:

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> Pirates here's one for you - If we make a fuss
> about say a 3kg pull in the weights then why do
> we ignore a horse that has put on/lost 10 kg
> since it's last run ? My experience as an owner
> was that my horse ran to his best when he was
> about 490kg regardless of the weight he carried


I know I'm not pirates but I agree - some of the 'form reversals' could perhaps be explained by the horse's weight - we just don't know as the weights are not taken (are they still in Cape Town?) nor published - would add another vital factor to form study imo

Statiscally, do the top rated horses carrying the most weight do better than the light weight lower rated ones? Do any of you know?

Should I be having a big bet on Winter Song guys?

Justin,what do you think of the UK handicapping system? three qualifying runs and your in a handicap

This looks extremely similar to something I posted as an attachment last week.

Dave or Bob,do I get comm for previous postings relisted? X(

Ha ha jap i started this thread last year

I know,but times are tough,a mans got to try his luck.

Pairwise comparisons don't work.
You can construct a speed predictor and scale it using predicted figures like those in winningform.co.za.
But I don't know how those figures are arrived at.