Kenilworth, 23/11

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2 months 10 hours ago #775984 by bayern
Kenilworth, 23/11 was created by bayern
Fancy the double :-

R4) Golden Tractor (18/10), dropping in class and if the track is running fast, think the balance will battle to stick with him in a fast run race despite conceding weight to Hardfallingrain and Cape Of Storms, and a 2.5kg swing worse off to Skidoo for a 3.55 length beating.

R6) African Warrior (12/10), far from disgraced last time out and if repeating that effort should win this. Hopefully on breeding, will have no problem seeing out the extra furlong.

treble by adding :-

R3) Helen's Ideal (7/2), actually think she ran above her rating last time out, so despite conceding weight all round, she will go close here. Hopefully PeterD passes comment on her well being and rates her chances later.

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1 month 4 weeks ago #776050 by Bob Brogan
Bob Brogan on topic Kenilworth, 23/11
Cabo Da Cruz ew race 7

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1 month 4 weeks ago #776052 by Karma
Karma on topic Kenilworth, 23/11
Agree with you Bayern re Golden Tractor in the 4th... I made it the best on the card....

I fancy Princess Irene in the 3rd, think it would have come on from its come back run...

The other one i fancy is in R2, i see it is on a little bit of a drift, but that does not concern me in the slightest... Springisintheair....

My patent for the day.....

Are you living your life or waiting to die?

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1 month 4 weeks ago #776065 by cross
cross on topic Kenilworth, 23/11
My straight line P/A today. 3,1,2,8,6,2,9. :woohoo:

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1 month 4 weeks ago #776070 by bayern
bayern on topic Kenilworth, 23/11

bayern wrote: Fancy the double :-

R4) Golden Tractor (18/10), dropping in class and if the track is running fast, think the balance will battle to stick with him in a fast run race despite conceding weight to Hardfallingrain and Cape Of Storms, and a 2.5kg swing worse off to Skidoo for a 3.55 length beating.

R6) African Warrior (12/10), far from disgraced last time out and if repeating that effort should win this. Hopefully on breeding, will have no problem seeing out the extra furlong. {jockey's only ride for the day:whistle:}

treble by adding :-

R3) Helen's Ideal (7/2), actually think she ran above her rating last time out, so despite conceding weight all round, she will go close here. Hopefully PeterD passes comment on her well being and rates her chances later.


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1 month 4 weeks ago #776075 by Sammy Silver
Sammy Silver on topic Kenilworth, 23/11

bayern wrote:

bayern wrote: Fancy the double :-

R4) Golden Tractor (18/10), dropping in class and if the track is running fast, think the balance will battle to stick with him in a fast run race despite conceding weight to Hardfallingrain and Cape Of Storms, and a 2.5kg swing worse off to Skidoo for a 3.55 length beating.

R6) African Warrior (12/10), far from disgraced last time out and if repeating that effort should win this. Hopefully on breeding, will have no problem seeing out the extra furlong. {jockey's only ride for the day:whistle:}

treble by adding :-

R3) Helen's Ideal (7/2), actually think she ran above her rating last time out, so despite conceding weight all round, she will go close here. Hopefully PeterD passes comment on her well being and rates her chances later.


Hi not correct. He has taken rides left by Dillon!

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1 month 4 weeks ago #776080 by bayern
bayern on topic Kenilworth, 23/11

Sammy Silver wrote:

bayern wrote:

bayern wrote: Fancy the double :-

R4) Golden Tractor (18/10), dropping in class and if the track is running fast, think the balance will battle to stick with him in a fast run race despite conceding weight to Hardfallingrain and Cape Of Storms, and a 2.5kg swing worse off to Skidoo for a 3.55 length beating.

R6) African Warrior (12/10), far from disgraced last time out and if repeating that effort should win this. Hopefully on breeding, will have no problem seeing out the extra furlong. {jockey's only ride for the day:whistle:}

treble by adding :-

R3) Helen's Ideal (7/2), actually think she ran above her rating last time out, so despite conceding weight all round, she will go close here. Hopefully PeterD passes comment on her well being and rates her chances later.


Hi not correct. He has taken rides left by Dillon!


Thanks for the correction, maybe he can afford to charter his own flight back to Durban with all the pick-up wins as well:woohoo:

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1 month 4 weeks ago #776083 by Magi
Magi on topic Kenilworth, 23/11

bayern wrote: Fancy the double :-

R4) Golden Tractor (18/10), dropping in class and if the track is running fast, think the balance will battle to stick with him in a fast run race despite conceding weight to Hardfallingrain and Cape Of Storms, and a 2.5kg swing worse off to Skidoo for a 3.55 length beating.

R6) African Warrior (12/10), far from disgraced last time out and if repeating that effort should win this. Hopefully on breeding, will have no problem seeing out the extra furlong.

treble by adding :-

R3) Helen's Ideal (7/2), actually think she ran above her rating last time out, so despite conceding weight all round, she will go close here. Hopefully PeterD passes comment on her well being and rates her chances later.


Good news for Golden Tractor ... not the usual headwind today, a near tail wind blowing so will be in his favor. African Warrior last time drawn 11 moved up smoothly and was checked and switched twice ... then either found no extra or was affected by the traffic as he made no impression in the last 100m's. I expect him to win on his coconut today s he was not hard ridden.
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1 month 4 weeks ago #776085 by PeterD
PeterD on topic Kenilworth, 23/11
The official course report says a SE headwind today- however, looking out my window and consulting weather sites, its a North wind blowing which is a tailwind today. The track will be running fast.
Race 1. Not the strongest WR race, and the 3 in the betting are probably the right ones for the bipot.
Race 2. A competitive maiden. What a Flirt a very narrow loser last time and should get it right today. Rattlemouse looks next best from a nice draw. Silver Tiara and Springisintheair decent form but wide draws. Rocamadour is also capable of earning.
Race 3. The conditions of this race do not suit our filly- I would much have preferred running in a handicap but we don’t have an option with today’s handicap race being cancelled due to lack of entries. This is a final prep for her next target which is the Victress Stakes next month. Helen’s Ideal has come on from her run in the Diana, and I expect her to run close to her best form. She is 4 and 5 kg out with Snapscan, Princess Irene and Miyabi Gold, so I will be very pleasantly surprised if we finish in front any of those. If, however, it is a slow run race which becomes a sprint for home, then we could upset the applecart. Dynasty’s Blossom is also well in at the weights but will probably find this too sharp.
Race 4. I think that this is an open race, and while I respect Golden Tractor, I see no value in the price. Hardfallingrain and Cape of Storms are also improving 3yos that will challenge strongly, and there are a few older hard knockers who could pop up.
Race 5. I think that Cousin Liz is much better than her 97 rating ( She has won a Gr 3, yet there are maiden winners that have been given ratings of 100 and more?????) . If she is sound on the day I expect her to win. Hildegarde, Captains Darling and Spirit Festival are the main dangers.
Race 6. While 3 yo’s can improve rapidly at this stage of their careers, so an upset is always possible, African Warrior looks very hard to beat on exposed form. Viva Rio looks the closest challenger.
Race 7. This is a very difficult race, and anything can win. Elusive Trader looks a value ew bet.
Race 8. Capoeira is slung in at the weights here, and the only question is the distance. If this were 1600m or further he would be an odds on shot. Even over this trip, I think that he is the right one, and he was great value at 7/2 earlier today. 5/2 is still value at time of writing.
Invidia is a smart horse and is distance suited but has a lot to do at the weights against my selection. Not a lot between Invidia and Finding Camelot. Crown Towers is capable and these 4 will fill the quartet.
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1 month 4 weeks ago #776090 by bayern
bayern on topic Kenilworth, 23/11

Magi wrote:

bayern wrote: Fancy the double :-

R4) Golden Tractor (18/10), dropping in class and if the track is running fast, think the balance will battle to stick with him in a fast run race despite conceding weight to Hardfallingrain and Cape Of Storms, and a 2.5kg swing worse off to Skidoo for a 3.55 length beating.

R6) African Warrior (12/10), far from disgraced last time out and if repeating that effort should win this. Hopefully on breeding, will have no problem seeing out the extra furlong.

treble by adding :-

R3) Helen's Ideal (7/2), actually think she ran above her rating last time out, so despite conceding weight all round, she will go close here. Hopefully PeterD passes comment on her well being and rates her chances later.


Good news for Golden Tractor ... not the usual headwind today, a near tail wind blowing so will be in his favor. African Warrior last time drawn 11 moved up smoothly and was checked and switched twice ... then either found no extra or was affected by the traffic as he made no impression in the last 100m's. I expect him to win on his coconut today s he was not hard ridden.


Just need PeterD's "confirmation" as to Helen's Ideal's chances, and I'm in good company, not that I'm not in good company already:)

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1 month 4 weeks ago #776099 by Biggie626
Biggie626 on topic Kenilworth, 23/11
RACE ONE

NO.2 WATCH ME NOW (SHOULD WIN)

GIMMETHEGREENLIGHT'S HAVE BEEN FIRING OF LATE!!

NO.8 CONTENTED QUEEN (DANGER)

ALTHOUGH NOT BRED FOR THE DISTANCE... CLASS COULD CARRY HER THROUGH!!

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1 month 4 weeks ago #776105 by Biggie626
Biggie626 on topic Kenilworth, 23/11
RACE 2

NO.13 WHAT A FLIRT (WIN)

SHE'S NOT GETTING BEAT TODAY

WIN BY 50LENGTHS

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1 month 4 weeks ago #776109 by Biggie626
Biggie626 on topic Kenilworth, 23/11
RACE 3

NO.6 DUCHESS OF BOURBON (E/W)

20/1

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1 month 4 weeks ago #776111 by kristieN
kristieN on topic Kenilworth, 23/11
KENILWORTH Race 4 JP
[2, 4]/[1, 2, 3]/[1, 2, 9]/[2, 5, 6, 7, 9, 12]

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1 month 4 weeks ago #776112 by Biggie626
Biggie626 on topic Kenilworth, 23/11
KENILWORTH

RACE 4

NO.6 DESTRUCTION BOY (E/W)

Winning form had him priced up at 5/1

Now 17/1 been offered!!

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1 month 4 weeks ago #776113 by durbs
durbs on topic Kenilworth, 23/11
Everyone on Golden Tractor must be thankful Bernard just ride Skidoo hands and heels and not his usual panel beating style ride.Maybe he dropped his stick but very unusual for him not to use it.

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1 month 4 weeks ago #776115 by Biggie626
Biggie626 on topic Kenilworth, 23/11
RACE 5

NO.6 VODKA LIME (E/W)

WCp:Phppi
Wet:4:1-0-1
Crs: 10:1-2-2
Dst: 9:1-2-2
C&D:7:1-2-2

Peak run
Loves C/D
Apprentice claim will assist

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1 month 4 weeks ago #776119 by Biggie626
Biggie626 on topic Kenilworth, 23/11
RACE 6

No.4 SNOW REPORT (E/W)

IT'S SA'S BEST JOCKEY ON A 50/1 SHOT :whistle: :whistle: :whistle:

BERNIE IS 2 FROM 2 ON THIS HORSE

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1 month 4 weeks ago - 1 month 4 weeks ago #776126 by Sammy Silver
Sammy Silver on topic Kenilworth, 23/11
These poor results makes me wonder why we continue playing this game. You have no chance of winning!!
Last edit: 1 month 4 weeks ago by Sammy Silver.

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1 month 4 weeks ago #776127 by Saint Tropez
Saint Tropez on topic Kenilworth, 23/11
Good bye De Melo, Kannemeyer looking for a new stable jockey

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