Frodo wrote: Jolly Josephine should not be that price ...
Nice call frodo, now it just has to win 😳
Yip - let's see - backed it each-way yesterday at 13/1 - realistically a place probably the better option ....
Had a look at the card, and few jumped out - thoughts:
R1: Emblem of Hope the obvious one on form - the rest obviously a concern, but should pack too much class for these - especially as none of the debutantes are seemingly fancied - however as we all know, a horse does not know if anyone backed it .....
R2: Sonic Burst on times should finish in front of the hot-pot favorite Sovereign Rose - yet trading at 7/1 - had me a nice each-way bet at those odds - Snaith first timer the only other one in the market in what seems a 3-cornered contest
R3: Not that sold on Hoedspruit, but by process of elimination does seem the right one - good form, but needs to show that it gets the trip from a wide draw, so can of course win easing up, but for me no value at that price. Confused a bit by the rider arrangements on the Crawford runners - Orffer must have had the choice, but the stable mate has the better form - could be a bit of an upset here ....
R4: Black Belt should prove tough to beat - pace could be an issue though in this small field - I'm taking no chances and will include all 6 runners in the P6
R5: Our Prized Jewel probably a popular banker in the P6 - however tries 1600, so I am definitely including Jolly Josephine, who has the rest of the field stone cold at the weights
R6: I do think that young Mr Solomons is in for a good day and his mount Rock Trip is my first choice - at the weights seems hard to beat - only draw-back is the poor form of the stable in Cape Town - they did have a winner on Sunday though and may be getting over the slump; if Rock Trip disappoints I think it is wide open and a runner like Miss d'Array looks good value at 14s
R7: Open contest if one looks past the favorite; there is form though to suggest that big-priced runners like Fleeced, Mon Cherie and Vandah's Spirit (that Bass-Robinson stable again), could have a say
R8: Another chance for apprentice Solomons, as Four's a Crowd looks really well in at the weights and should prove hard to beat; not a lot between On Captain's Side and Windsor Beat, but both seem held by Four's a Crowd
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Press wrote: Hows old Jannie Bekker to open with a Dbl... Money down on the both of them!
Piet Botha did warn us that it might just need it but obviously it's his job to bring the horse to the races fit.
Also got to be brave to take 6-10 Jannie Bekker and Piet Botha,3% and 6% strike rate.
14-1 Sonic Burst more like a price for those two but now it's 4-1.
Race 2 Soveriegn Rose the one to beat. Sonic Burst the next best of the raced runners. What a Flight gets the weight off and should come on from the debut run. First Timers could be anything.
Race 3 Hoedspruit is the one to beat. The two Kotzen runners good debuts in the wet going and not much between them. Stable jockey may have picked the wrong one.
Race 4 Snaith has 4 of the remaining 6 runners and any could pop up. Black Belt is consistent but one must assume the 4yos have more scope for improvement.
Race 5 Fynbos spent May on the farm and has been back in training since begin June. May need this run back slightly and a poor draw. She is probably better over further so if she runs a place here I'll be happy. Our Prized Jewel looks progressive and still ahead of the handicapper. Jolly Josephine well in with the paper weight. Not much between the others.
Race 6 Very open race. I agree that the appie allowance on Rock Trip may prove decisive.
Race 7 Secret Depths also spent the month of May on the farm, and this is too short for her. Has a good turn of foot so could run on into the money running fresh but this is a prep run so no expectations Another very open race.
Race 8 Same applies to Grey Princess and not much expected this trip. On Captain's Side is the one to beat in another open race..
Last edit: 2 weeks 6 hours ago by PeterD.
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