Kenilworth, 23/10

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Kenilworth, 23/10

2 years 5 months ago - 2 years 5 months ago
#827546
Race (1)
Top Quality can get punters off to a good start. Drawn widest on debut, turned into the straight last and weaved his way through to finish running on strongly for second. Good thing, he takes on his own age group. From a decent draw, make him the one to beat and an anchor to start all multiples.

Race (2)
Cio Cio San the marginal choice in an open race. The collateral form has been franked, in that, the horse who finished 4th, (Just Power) last time out, came out and won, and from the Just Power race, the horse who finished second, Mel’s Princess, has also come out and won. No good thing though.

Race (3)
These divided handicaps, I find difficult to work out. Let me look silly by cutting to the chase, Gayleactic Star.

Race (4)
Masked Vigilante should have gone closer last time out, checked twice in the closing stages. Peak run, racing fit, looks progressive, should be the one to beat especially receiving weight from the market rivals.

Race (5)
The Second Wave could be the dark horse here in a very open race.

Race (6)
Wouldn’t say reputations are on the line, but trainers trying to gauge where their charges are at early in their careers. For me, some of the jockey engagements are tells as to a horse’s chances, not that they can’t win, but considering who the stable jock has opted to ride or based on the draw (dons the egg visor). Pomp And Power, whilst a 3 time winner, difficult to access this being it’s first run out of the juvenile ranks. Trip Of Fortune won more impressively than the margin suggests last time out in open company despite being out at the weights in the plated race. Got up to beat Guineas winner Russian Rock who looks to be returning to best form. Zapatillas, another who was not disgraced in open company last time out. May have been beaten by the dreaded second run after a rest syndrome, but was finishing best, cannot be discounted here. Safe Return, the fact that Marcus has got off to ride Universal, will give him a miss (using the same egg visor luckily). Universal, could be anything, stiffest test to date. Personally wouldn’t take less than 7/1 about Universal in this race. Double Superlative, like Universal, stiffest test to date, draw could be an issue, the collateral form is good, the second and third placed finishers have franked the form. Going to row in with Trip Of Fortune.

Race (7)
Probably a more open affair than the colts version. Kailene was consistent during the KZN season as a juvenile, probably need the run (where’s that egg visor). Maria Querol, another having her first run outside the juvenile ranks, but having a good draw and running up with the pace makes her a contender. Wouldn’t ignore the chances of Gimme Dat, probably needed it’s last run, can be forgiven. Not the best of draws. Amanzimtoti, at the weights should not finish ahead of Maria Querol. Actually think Amanzimtoti will appreciate further, but not without a chance. Make Maria Querol the one they have to beat.

Race (8)
Really liked the debut win by Whoa Whoa Whoa. Drawn very wide, faltered when the gates opened, managed to race up handy and fought off the runner up for the last 200m. Would have come on a lot from that run. The collateral form has been franked by runner-up, Magna Mater, next time out. The danger must be Long White Cloud, but rowing in with Whoa Whoa Whoa.
Guessing has never been widely acclaimed as a good gambling strategy.
Last edit: 2 years 5 months ago by bayern.
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Re: Kenilworth, 23/10

2 years 5 months ago
#827548

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  • the fantasy
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Re: Kenilworth, 23/10

2 years 5 months ago
#827596
Punters be aware. Strong winds and rain forecast for Cape Town on Saturday.

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Re: Kenilworth, 23/10

2 years 5 months ago
#827604
Race 1: 3x9x8
Race 2: 3x5x10

Race 3: 2x1x5
Race 4: 3x4x5

Race 5: 7x6x5
Race 6: 7x1x6

Race 7: 3x11x8x2
Race 8: 10x9x2x8

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  • Craig Pienaar
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Re: Kenilworth, 23/10

2 years 5 months ago
#827605
Some lovely racing today
Masked Vigilante
Zapatillas/Universal
Kailene/Amanzimtoti
Will cross the trebles

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  • PeterD
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Re: Kenilworth, 23/10

2 years 5 months ago
#827610
We had a fair amount of rain last night, although not nearly as much as was originally forecast for Friday. Wind is swinging around to the South, and now forecast to clear up late morning. The pen was 21 at midday yesterday, so there should be no problem with racing today. The sting will be out the ground but likely still good going.
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  • Tero
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Re: Kenilworth, 23/10

2 years 5 months ago
#827625
R3 Walk of Fame should run an improved race.

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Re: Kenilworth, 23/10

2 years 5 months ago
#827643
Reported 55mm last 24 hrs and pen 24- good to soft. Has cleared up nicely, and expect the wind to pick up a bit later.
Race 1 Top Quality has been priced up in the red after a good debut. Ragnar Lothbrok will give him a go.
Race 2 The 4yo Rosie Roan has a poor draw and comes off a longish break, but is capable at best. Cracklin Rose also a tough draw but good form. Cruizin California good draw and form to go close. Zippy Over and Empress of Jade decent debuts and could improve to win.
Race 3 Quite open. Walk of Fame and Gayleactic Star good recent form. Athalia and Hilarity very difficult to rate. Kissing Point comes off a break, but at the weights is my first pick. Winter Furi also returns from a break but well weighted on best form.
Race 4 Barzalona may have needed it last time, and on best form should be the main danger to Masked Vigilante. Not much between the older horses, so either go just these two or the field.
Race 5 Another very open race. Firealley good win last time and is my narrow pick to win again. Irish Tractor, Lion's Head and The Second Wave finished on top of each other last time. Royal Watch returns from a break but good earier form. Cant leave any of these 5 out the exotics.
Race 6 A cracking race, and it all depends on how much they have improved. My first pick is Trip of Fortune. All of Pomp and Power, Zapatillas, and Universal have credentials to win. Fourie has picked Double Superlative so although the form doesn't look as strong as the others, must respect his choice.
Race 7 Another cracker. Kailene brings KZN graded form, and if fit has a huge chance here. Maria Querol also comes off a break, but looked the best of the CT fillies last season. Santa Maria, Gimme Dat and Amanzimtoti all strong recent form and must be considered.
Race 8 A very open race if the favourite fails. Our filly, Treasure Hunt has been running over the sprints to learn to relax and run on. Was too far out her ground last time. Expecting a better run today, but this is still a bit sharp for her. Long White Cloud hard to assess but looks promising. Super Siri is a big runner if she shows her best form.
The one to beat is Whoa Whoa Whoa which won well on debut and no doubt will have come on from that run. Imposing Angel progressive and speedy.
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Re: Kenilworth, 23/10

2 years 5 months ago - 2 years 5 months ago
#827656
Favourite in the 1st looks cold , will avoid this one like the plague , will.go for Botha horse
Last edit: 2 years 5 months ago by Craig Pienaar.

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  • ElvisisKing
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Re: Kenilworth, 23/10

2 years 5 months ago
#827660
R3 Walk of Fame should run an improved race.

mighty STIFF there Tero.... thought Marcus had it in the bag...... weight told i suppose :S :S

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  • durbs
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Re: Kenilworth, 23/10

2 years 5 months ago
#827665
Adam Marcus still got alot to learn when trying to bring a horse back from a break fit.
Universal ran a shocker and so did his other horse during the week that came back from a break.

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  • MasterOfMyFate
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Re: Kenilworth, 23/10

2 years 5 months ago
#827667
Adam Marcus still got alot to learn when trying to bring a horse back from a break fit.
Universal ran a shocker and so did his other horse during the week that came back from a break.
\

Depends a lot on the horse durbs. Yeah he won his maiden a 9 or so lengths but this was first time round a bend and against this class. How many horses have we seen winning maidens by a street, priced up short next time out and flop.

Don't forget Adam produced Vardy from a break (and injury) to win the Green Point and LQP in succession. Depends on the horse.

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